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George Russell’s odds of winning the F1 Drivers’ Champion surged 6.0 percentage points in the past 24 hours, while leader Kimi Antonelli dropped 7.5 points, after Russell claimed p
Leading: Kimi Antonelli · 9 more outcomes tracked
The market for 2026's highest-grossing movie saw a sharp 24-hour reshuffle, with Spider-Man: Brand New Day gaining 6.5 percentage points to reach 55.5% implied probability, while T
Leading: Spider-Man: Brand New Day · 9 more outcomes tracked
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s probability of winning Brazil’s presidency surged 3 percentage points in the past 24 hours and 10 points over the past week, hitting 50.5% — the highest
Leading: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva · 9 more outcomes tracked
NVIDIA’s probability of being the largest U.S. company by market capitalisation at month-end rose 2.4 percentage points in 24 hours to 96.9%, while Alphabet slipped 2.0 points to 2
Leading: NVIDIA · 6 more outcomes tracked
Odds in the Venezuela leadership market shifted modestly over the past 24 hours, with Nicolás Maduro’s probability slipping 1.3 percentage points to 73.4% while Delcy Rodríguez gai
Leading: Nicolás Maduro · 9 more outcomes tracked
Traders sharply increased the implied probability of a US-Iran peace deal by Sunday, with the June 15 outcome rising 14.3 percentage points over the past week before dipping 2.9 po
Leading: December 31 · 5 more outcomes tracked
Xavier Becerra’s implied probability slipped 0.7 percentage points over the past day, settling at 88.4% after a roughly 37-point rise over the prior month. The movement is slight a
Leading: Xavier Becerra · 9 more outcomes tracked
The probability that a hantavirus pandemic will occur in 2026 ticked up slightly over the past 24 hours, rising 0.4 percentage points to 4.1%. The move is marginal and appears to l
Leading: Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
The market for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has seen modest shifts over the past 24 hours, with the United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) gaining 0.4 percentage points to re
Leading: UNRWA · 9 more outcomes tracked
Brazil's odds of winning the World Cup slipped 0.9 percentage points over the past day, while Morocco gained 0.8 points, after the two teams played to a 1-1 draw in their tournamen
Leading: Spain · 9 more outcomes tracked